Lokniti-CSDS Exit Poll Predicts BJP’s Victory in Delhi Elections
The much-awaited Delhi Assembly elections have finally come to an end, and the excitement is palpable. With voting concluding on February 8, 2020, the city is eagerly waiting to know the outcome of the polls. In the midst of this anticipation, the Lokniti-CSDS exit poll has made a significant prediction, claiming that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to emerge victorious in the election.
According to the exit poll, the BJP is expected to secure a clear victory by bagging 46% of the total votes cast. This is a significant lead over its closest rival, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which is predicted to get 41% of the votes. The Indian National Congress (INC) is likely to trail behind, with a vote share of 9%.
This prediction is based on the exit polls conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) and Lokniti, a research unit of the CSDS. The exit polls surveyed over 15,000 voters across 28 constituencies in Delhi, providing a comprehensive picture of the voter sentiment.
The Delhi Assembly has a total of 70 seats, and the majority mark is 36. With the BJP predicted to get 46% of the votes, it is likely to secure a significant majority, possibly even above 40 seats. The AAP, on the other hand, is expected to win around 27-30 seats, while the Congress is likely to be reduced to a handful of seats, possibly around 4-6.
The exit poll results are significant not only because they predict a clear victory for the BJP but also because they highlight the decline of the Congress in Delhi. The Congress party, which has traditionally been a dominant force in Delhi, is struggling to make an impact in the current elections. The exit poll results suggest that the Congress may not even manage to win a single digit number of seats, which is a significant decline from its previous performance.
The AAP, which has been the ruling party in Delhi since 2013, is also likely to face a decline in its fortunes. The exit poll results suggest that the AAP may lose around 10-15 seats from its previous tally, which could be attributed to the party’s inability to deliver on its promises.
The BJP, on the other hand, is likely to gain significantly from the exit polls. The party’s campaign, led by its Delhi unit chief Manoj Tiwari, has focused on issues like law and order, corruption, and development. The party’s promise to provide a corruption-free government and improve the law and order situation in Delhi seems to have resonated with the voters.
The exit poll results are also significant because they highlight the decline of the traditional vote banks of the Congress and the AAP. The exit polls suggest that the Congress is likely to lose its traditional support base among the upper-caste Hindus, while the AAP is likely to face a decline in its support among the Scheduled Castes and the Muslims.
In conclusion, the Lokniti-CSDS exit poll results suggest that the BJP is likely to emerge victorious in the Delhi Assembly elections. The party’s campaign seems to have resonated with the voters, who are looking for a change from the current government. The AAP, on the other hand, is likely to face a decline in its fortunes, while the Congress is struggling to make an impact.
